by redrover » Thu Sep 29, 2011 12:50 pm
It's usually impossible to delineate whether a win was because of incompetence or inferior strategy. for example if the ussr builds all tanks for most of the game, I consider that poor strategy so I think I would usually win against the allies because my axis strategy is better. There are many different strategies that a lot of very good players use (just look at the strategies forums) I think it's absurd to claim that every possible axis strategy will always be inferior to any allies strategy. There are some moves that are incompetent, making attacks when the odds are very strongly against you, forgetting to unload transports, leaving planes open to get taken, however to say that any of these mistakes was the only reason the other team wrong is an unproductive thought process. A good player can not only take advantage of mistakes but also put the other side into positions that force them to make mistakes. It seems like you generally agree that 7-8g is a reasonable bid for the axis under most playing conditions, but you also seem to still think that 7-8g still favors the allies. I have to strongly disagree. If you look at the results of games in which very good experienced players play against other very good experienced players so there is very little incompetence involved, I highly doubt you will find that either the axis or allies have much more or less than a 50% record. As for dice, they will favor the allies as much as they favor the axis, unless you believe GTO has some sort of grudge against the allies. Therefore its unfair to give credit to the dice for the games axis wins and not credit for the games the allies win.